****************************************************************************************************************

($BH/I=#1(B$B$N(B) $BH/I=MW;]!'(B

   $BBg5$$N5(@aFbJQF0$O@VF;0h$K$*$$$FBn1[$7$?JQF0$N0l$D$G$"$j!"FC$K!!(Bwarm  
 water pool$B!!>e$G3hH/$G$"$k$3$H$,CN$i$l$F$$$k!#5(@aFbJQF0$,(BENSO$B%9%1!<%k(B 
 $B$KM?$($k1F6A$H$$$&E@$G$O$$$/$D$+$N8&5f$,$J$5$l$F$$$k$,$^$@40A4$K$O2rL@(B 
 $B$5$l$F$$$J$$!#(BPhilander and Pacanowski$B!!(B(1981)$B$O?eJ?0lMM@.AX$N@VF;3$MN(B
 $B$KEl@>Iw$N<~4|(B20$B!A(B50$BF|JQF0$r$"$?$(!"El8~$-$H@>8~$-$N@VF;%8%'%C%H$NHs@~(B
 $B7A@-$K$h$k(B $B0c$$!J(B $BEl8~%8%'%C%H$N$[$&$,@>8~%8%'%C%H$KHf$Y$h$j?<$/!"@VF;(B
 $B$K=8Cf$7$F(B $B$$$k!K$K$h$j;~4VJ?6Q>l$H$7$FEl8~$-$NN.$l$,$G$-$k$3$H$r<($7$?!#(B
 $B$^$?!"(BKessler et al.(1995)$B$O3$MN$N%1%k%S%sGH$KH<$&0\N.$K$h$k(BSST$B$NJQ2=$H(B
 $BBg5$$N5(@aFbJQF0$H$NAj8_:nMQ$N%a%+%K%:%`$r4JC1$J%b%G%k$K$7!"(B1991$B!](B1992$B$N(B 
 $B%(%k%K!<%K%g;~$N(Bwarm water pool$B$NEl$X$N%7%U%H$r@bL@$7$?!#$7$+$7!"5(@aFb(B 
 $BJQF0$,B8:_$9$k$3$H$K$h$jJ?6Q>l$H$7$F(B warm water pool$B!!$,$I$N$h$&$J1F6A(B 
 $B$reAX$NNd5Q!!(B3.$B29EYLvAX$N?<$5$NA}2C(B 
 $BG.$N0\N.3H;6J}Dx<0$N3F9`$rD4$Y$k$3$H$K$h$j!!(B1$B$OJ?6QN.B.$K$h$kG.0\N.$N(B 
 $B8z2L!!(B2$B$O1tD>:.9g$N8z2L!!(B3$B$O%l%$%N%k%:%U%i%C%/%9$N8z2L$G$"$k$3$H$,$o$+(B 
 $B$C$?!#$3$N$&$ABg5$$KBg$-$J1F6A$rM?$($k$H9M$($i$l$k(Bwarm water pool$B$NEl(B
 $B$X$N%7%U%H$K4X$7$F$O4JC1$J(B1.5$BAX%b%G%k$rMQ$$$F@bL@$G$-$k!#$3$l$O%l%$%N(B
 $B%k%:%9%H%l%99`$K$h$k@VF;$X$NEl8~N.@.J,$N<}B+$K$h$k$b$N$G$"$k!#(B 

($BH/I=#2(B$B$N(B) $BH/I=MW;]!'(B

   $BBg5$!&3$MN$N1?F0$OB@M[J|N$K$b4X$o$i$:!"9_?eNL$dIw!"$^$?3$MN$NI=AX=[4D$O@VF;$KBP$7$F6/(B 
 $B$$FnKLHsBP>N@-$r@.$7$F$$$k!#FC$K!"G.BS<}B+BS!J(BIntertropical 
 convergence zone$B!"N,$7$F!"(BITCZ$B!K$H8F$P$l$k9_?eBS$OElItB@J?MN$HBg@>MN$G(B 
 $B$O!"KL0^(B10$BEYIU6a$K0LCV$7$F$$$k!#$3$N$h$&$J30NO$H1~EzFCD'$NIT0lCW$OD9G/(B 
 $B$NFf$G$"$j!"$=$N80$r0.$k$N$OCO5e>e$N3$N&J,I[$HBg5$!&3$MN4V$NAj8_:n(B 
 $BMQ$G$"$k!#FC$KIwB.!&>xH/!&3$LL?e29!J(Bwind-evaporation-sea surface 
 temperature$B!"N,$7$F!"(BWES$B!K$N4V!"@5$N%U%#!<%I%P%C%/$,F/$-!"BgN&J,I[$N>p(B 
 $BJs$r9-Bg$JB@J?MN$KEAC#$9$kLr3d$r$7$F$$$k!#(B 
   $B%;%_%J!<$G$O!"%O%l(!$NBg@>MNIw7O?^$r8+$;$J$,$i!"$3$NLdBj$NNr;KE*:,85(B 
 $B$rC5$k!#$^$?!"(BITCZ$B$rFnKL?6F0$5$;$k5$8uJQF0$K$b?($l$k!#(B 

-----
$BO"Mm@h(B